In “Overconnectivity and Surprises,” William Davidow
explains how the newspaper industry fell apart due to overconnectivity. His
perspective was enlightening. He points to a paper by mathematician Eugene
Wigner that states that overconnected environments are unstable and subject to
rapid change and also accidents. Newspapers are therefore an example of this.
Davidow says the newspaper industry went from a connected state to an
overconnected one, bypassing a highly connected state altogether. Because
newspapers thrived for so long on the same business model, they were not
equipped to handle the rapid changes the Internet brought to the industry, most
notably the replacement of classified advertising.
Davidow explains: “The Internet changed both the newspapers
and the means of delivery. News that once appeared on paper was now delivered
over the Internet. Almost overnight, newspapers went from thriving in an
interconnected environment to suffering in an overconnected one. People stopped
reading print newspapers, advertisers disappeared, and circulation plummeted.
Unable to cope, some newspapers began abandoning their print product and
switched to Web-only news. Others struggled to adopt new business models. The
current chaos in the industry is a sign of overconnection.”
He also talks about positive and negative feedback, but from
the perspective of an engineer. The term “positive” refers to how change
reinforces and accelerates change, whether the outcome is desirable or not.
Negative feedback means stability and keeping environments in balance. He
likens it to a home thermostat: “positive feedback would have the thermostat’s
signal to the furnace be ‘Great heat; let’s have some more,’ repeating it until
the house became unbearably hot,” while negative feedback tells the furnace that
it’s too hot or cold and the furnace adjusts accordingly.
The positive feedback the Internet and interconnected states
related to newspapers received left the newspapers reeling. And, they still
are.
Warren Buffett recently acquired the Omaha World-Herald and
several other newspapers. While I’ve always thought of the World-Herald as a
paper that “survived” the industry chaos – and will continue to survive – an articlein Bloomberg from December sheds light on the struggle that it and Buffett faces.
Terry Kroeger, the newly installed chief of Buffett’s newspaper empire, says their goal is to reintroduce newspapers to what they do best: delivering urgent, local information that readers can’t get elsewhere – and coaxing people into paying for it. “We’ve got to evolve with what people are looking for, and I think our industry has done kind of a crappy job with that,” Kroeger said.
What I found interesting in this article is that Kroeger started
working at the World-Herald 27 years ago. If even Kroeger himself is admitting
that the industry has responded poorly to the changes, and he’s been working
there since I was 5 years old, my initial reaction is – wouldn’t Buffett want
to put someone else in charge? Someone who was not one of the many who didn’t make
the necessary adjustments along the way? Someone with a fresh perspective or
new ideas?
The article also discusses the issue of staying objective. Health-care
articles from the World-Herald and other Berkshire-owned Nebraska newspapers go
onto a website sponsored by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Nebraska, which has
advertising in addition to the sponsorship. Kroeger said the arrangement with
Blue Cross doesn’t affect the content. Buffett’s ownership also raises the
question of how that influences news coverage. But, Mike Reilly, the
World-Herald’s executive editor, says it doesn’t. The articles states that for
years, the paper has run a weekly column on the billionaire called “Warren
Watch,” something that continues under Buffett’s ownership. “There hasn’t been
any change in how I run the newsroom,” Reilly said. “We used to cover the heck
out of him and we still cover the heck out of him.”
Bloomberg says that the World-Herald is profitable and so is
Buffett’s whole newspaper division overall. I do hope they survive but I do
wonder how these business decisions by Buffett’s group will affect the paper.
I have always been impressed with the World-Herald though, especially
with its “Omaha.com” web address. You want people looking for information on
the city to recognize that the newspaper’s site is the best site. I remember
when I interned at the St. Petersburg Times in Florida in 2002, their Tampa
bureau office building just said “The Times” on the outside so that people moving
to Tampa would assume that the Times was the local paper instead of the Tampa
Tribune. On my first day of work at the Times, I was told that the goal every day
was to put the Tribune out of business. The Times also put their name on the
arena in Tampa that year, calling it the St. Pete Times Forum. In the years
since I left, the paper is now called the Tampa Bay Times, as they continue to
infiltrate and grow in the area.
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